Accurately predicting spatio-temporal network traffic is essential for dynamically managing computing resources in modern communication systems and minimizing energy consumption. Although spatio-temporal traffic prediction has received extensive research attention, further improvements in prediction accuracy and computational efficiency remain necessary. In particular, existing decomposition-based methods or hybrid architectures often incur heavy overhead when capturing local and global feature correlations, necessitating novel approaches that optimize accuracy and complexity. In this paper, we propose an efficient spatio-temporal network traffic prediction framework, DP-LET, which consists of a data processing module, a local feature enhancement module, and a Transformer-based prediction module. The data processing module is designed for high-efficiency denoising of network data and spatial decoupling. In contrast, the local feature enhancement module leverages multiple Temporal Convolutional Networks (TCNs) to capture fine-grained local features. Meanwhile, the prediction module utilizes a Transformer encoder to model long-term dependencies and assess feature relevance. A case study on real-world cellular traffic prediction demonstrates the practicality of DP-LET, which maintains low computational complexity while achieving state-of-the-art performance, significantly reducing MSE by 31.8% and MAE by 23.1% compared to baseline models.

In the past decades, most work in the area of data analysis and machine learning was focused on optimizing predictive models and getting better results than what was possible with existing models. To what extent the metrics with which such improvements were measured were accurately capturing the intended goal, whether the numerical differences in the resulting values were significant, or whether uncertainty played a role in this study and if it should have been taken into account, was of secondary importance. Whereas probability theory, be it frequentist or Bayesian, used to be the gold standard in science before the advent of the supercomputer, it was quickly replaced in favor of black box models and sheer computing power because of their ability to handle large data sets. This evolution sadly happened at the expense of interpretability and trustworthiness. However, while people are still trying to improve the predictive power of their models, the community is starting to realize that for many applications it is not so much the exact prediction that is of importance, but rather the variability or uncertainty. The work in this dissertation tries to further the quest for a world where everyone is aware of uncertainty, of how important it is and how to embrace it instead of fearing it. A specific, though general, framework that allows anyone to obtain accurate uncertainty estimates is singled out and analysed. Certain aspects and applications of the framework -- dubbed `conformal prediction' -- are studied in detail. Whereas many approaches to uncertainty quantification make strong assumptions about the data, conformal prediction is, at the time of writing, the only framework that deserves the title `distribution-free'. No parametric assumptions have to be made and the nonparametric results also hold without having to resort to the law of large numbers in the asymptotic regime.

Energy conservation in buildings is a paramount concern to combat greenhouse gas emissions and combat climate change. The efficient management of room occupancy, involving actions like lighting control and climate adjustment, is a pivotal strategy to curtail energy consumption. In contexts where surveillance technology isn't viable, non-intrusive sensors are employed to estimate room occupancy. In this study, we present a predictive framework for room occupancy that leverages a diverse set of machine learning models, with Random Forest consistently achieving the highest predictive accuracy. Notably, this dataset encompasses both temporal and spatial dimensions, revealing a wealth of information. Intriguingly, our framework demonstrates robust performance even in the absence of explicit temporal modeling. These findings underscore the remarkable predictive power of traditional machine learning models. The success can be attributed to the presence of feature redundancy, the simplicity of linear spatial and temporal patterns, and the advantages of high-frequency data sampling. While these results are compelling, it's essential to remain open to the possibility that explicitly modeling the temporal dimension could unlock deeper insights or further enhance predictive capabilities in specific scenarios. In summary, our research not only validates the effectiveness of our prediction framework for continuous and classification tasks but also underscores the potential for improvements through the inclusion of temporal aspects. The study highlights the promise of machine learning in shaping energy-efficient practices and room occupancy management.

Predicting the future trajectories of dynamic agents in complex environments is crucial for a variety of applications, including autonomous driving, robotics, and human-computer interaction. It is a challenging task as the behavior of the agent is unknown and intrinsically multimodal. Our key insight is that the agents behaviors are influenced not only by their past trajectories and their interaction with their immediate environment but also largely with their long term waypoint (LTW). In this paper, we study the impact of adding a long-term goal on the performance of a trajectory prediction framework. We present an interpretable long term waypoint-driven prediction framework (WayDCM). WayDCM first predict an agent's intermediate goal (IG) by encoding his interactions with the environment as well as his LTW using a combination of a Discrete choice Model (DCM) and a Neural Network model (NN). Then, our model predicts the corresponding trajectories. This is in contrast to previous work which does not consider the ultimate intent of the agent to predict his trajectory. We evaluate and show the effectiveness of our approach on the Waymo Open dataset.

With the rapid development of Deep Learning, more and more applications on the cloud and edge tend to utilize large DNN (Deep Neural Network) models for improved task execution efficiency as well as decision-making quality. Due to memory constraints, models are commonly optimized using compression, pruning, and partitioning algorithms to become deployable onto resource-constrained devices. As the conditions in the computational platform change dynamically, the deployed optimization algorithms should accordingly adapt their solutions. To perform frequent evaluations of these solutions in a timely fashion, RMs (Regression Models) are commonly trained to predict the relevant solution quality metrics, such as the resulted DNN module inference latency, which is the focus of this paper. Existing prediction frameworks specify different RM training workflows, but none of them allow flexible configurations of the input parameters (e.g., batch size, device utilization rate) and of the selected RMs for different modules. In this paper, a deep learning module inference latency prediction framework is proposed, which i) hosts a set of customizable input parameters to train multiple different RMs per DNN module (e.g., convolutional layer) with self-generated datasets, and ii) automatically selects a set of trained RMs leading to the highest possible overall prediction accuracy, while keeping the prediction time / space consumption as low as possible. Furthermore, a new RM, namely MEDN (Multi-task Encoder-Decoder Network), is proposed as an alternative solution. Comprehensive experiment results show that MEDN is fast and lightweight, and capable of achieving the highest overall prediction accuracy and R-squared value. The Time/Space-efficient Auto-selection algorithm also manages to improve the overall accuracy by 2.5% and R-squared by 0.39%, compared to the MEDN single-selection scheme.

Predictive Process Monitoring aims to forecast the future progress of process instances using historical event data. As predictive process monitoring is increasingly applied in online settings to enable timely interventions, evaluating the performance of the underlying models becomes crucial for ensuring their consistency and reliability over time. This is especially important in high risk business scenarios where incorrect predictions may have severe consequences. However, predictive models are currently usually evaluated using a single, aggregated value or a time-series visualization, which makes it challenging to assess their performance and, specifically, their stability over time. This paper proposes an evaluation framework for assessing the stability of models for online predictive process monitoring. The framework introduces four performance meta-measures: the frequency of significant performance drops, the magnitude of such drops, the recovery rate, and the volatility of performance. To validate this framework, we applied it to two artificial and two real-world event logs. The results demonstrate that these meta-measures facilitate the comparison and selection of predictive models for different risk-taking scenarios. Such insights are of particular value to enhance decision-making in dynamic business environments.

With the increasing adoption of robots across industries, it is crucial to focus on developing advanced algorithms that enable robots to anticipate, comprehend, and plan their actions effectively in collaboration with humans. We introduce the Robot Autonomous Motion (RoAM) video dataset, which is collected with a custom-made turtlebot3 Burger robot in a variety of indoor environments recording various human motions from the robot's ego-vision. The dataset also includes synchronized records of the LiDAR scan and all control actions taken by the robot as it navigates around static and moving human agents. The unique dataset provides an opportunity to develop and benchmark new visual prediction frameworks that can predict future image frames based on the action taken by the recording agent in partially observable scenarios or cases where the imaging sensor is mounted on a moving platform. We have benchmarked the dataset on our novel deep visual prediction framework called ACPNet where the approximated future image frames are also conditioned on action taken by the robot and demonstrated its potential for incorporating robot dynamics into the video prediction paradigm for mobile robotics and autonomous navigation research.

Answering natural language questions on knowledge graphs (KGQA) remains a great challenge in terms of understanding complex questions via multi-hop reasoning. Previous efforts usually exploit large-scale entity-related text corpora or knowledge graph (KG) embeddings as auxiliary information to facilitate answer selection. However, the rich semantics implied in off-the-shelf relation paths between entities is far from well explored. This paper proposes improving multi-hop KGQA by exploiting relation paths' hybrid semantics. Specifically, we integrate explicit textual information and implicit KG structural features of relation paths based on a novel rotate-and-scale entity link prediction framework. Extensive experiments on three existing KGQA datasets demonstrate the superiority of our method, especially in multi-hop scenarios. Further investigation confirms our method's systematical coordination between questions and relation paths to identify answer entities.

Accurate and real-time disease prediction is vital for the prevention and control of healthcare-related infections. Although contacts between individuals are primarily responsible for infection chains, most prediction frameworks do not capture the contact dynamics. Researchers from the UK recently developed a real-time machine learning framework that uses dynamic patient contact networks to predict hospital-onset COVID-19 infections (HOCIs) at the patient level. They then tested and validated the framework on international multi-site datasets across various epidemic and endemic periods. This study can be found on the medRxiv* preprint server.

The failure of landing a job for college students could cause serious social consequences such as drunkenness and suicide. In addition to academic performance, unconscious biases can become one key obstacle for hunting jobs for graduating students. Thus, it is necessary to understand these unconscious biases so that we can help these students at an early stage with more personalized intervention. In this paper, we develop a framework, i.e., MAYA (Multi-mAjor emploYment stAtus) to predict students' employment status while considering biases. The framework consists of four major components. Firstly, we solve the heterogeneity of student courses by embedding academic performance into a unified space. Then, we apply a generative adversarial network (GAN) to overcome the class imbalance problem. Thirdly, we adopt Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) with a novel dropout mechanism to comprehensively capture sequential information among semesters. Finally, we design a bias-based regularization to capture the job market biases. We conduct extensive experiments on a large-scale educational dataset and the results demonstrate the effectiveness of our prediction framework.